Probability of Divorce and Separations in Distrito Federal, Mexico 2000

Salvador D. Cobo, El Colegio de México

In spite of the speed of changes in demographic trends compared to Europe, Latin America has not still finished its first demographic transition. However, we do see some changes from the second demographic transition occurring at the same time in many Latin American countries. The increase in the prevalence of marital dissolutions has not been sufficiently studied in the region. The aim of this research is to explore about some socioeconomic and demographics factors associated to the probability of experiencing a divorce or any kind of marital dissolutions. Data and Methods: In order to calculate the probabilities of the divorce and of marital dissolutions among the population in Mexico City, I used census information (Censo de Población y Vivienda, México 2000). In summary, the main goal of my research is to calculate the determinants and identify some characteristics associated to the divorce and dissolutions unions for the population in Mexico City.